Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.004022 0.004226 0.004435 0.004666 0.004913 0.005170 0.005460
2025-01-19 0.003541 0.003833 0.004145 0.004503 0.004906 0.005345 0.005864
2025-01-26 0.003338 0.003687 0.004070 0.004525 0.005052 0.005647 0.006377
2025-02-02 0.003248 0.003649 0.004100 0.004649 0.005303 0.006065 0.007031
2025-02-09 0.003077 0.003502 0.003988 0.004592 0.005328 0.006208 0.007353
2025-02-16 0.002957 0.003405 0.003926 0.004584 0.005404 0.006406 0.007746
2025-02-23 0.002842 0.003305 0.003853 0.004556 0.005448 0.006560 0.008083
2025-03-02 0.002777 0.003263 0.003844 0.004603 0.005584 0.006834 0.008587
2025-03-09 0.002679 0.003174 0.003773 0.004566 0.005607 0.006957 0.008892
2025-03-16 0.002588 0.003089 0.003703 0.004525 0.005620 0.007063 0.009174
2025-03-23 0.002489 0.002990 0.003610 0.004450 0.005582 0.007098 0.009354
2025-03-30 0.002400 0.002901 0.003527 0.004382 0.005550 0.007136 0.009538
2025-04-06 0.002347 0.002857 0.003501 0.004393 0.005628 0.007333 0.009972
2025-04-13 0.002230 0.002728 0.003360 0.004243 0.005477 0.007201 0.009907
2025-04-20 0.002189 0.002695 0.003345 0.004262 0.005564 0.007411 0.010373
2025-04-27 0.002186 0.002714 0.003398 0.004377 0.005788 0.007833 0.011193
2025-05-04 0.002122 0.002647 0.003334 0.004324 0.005769 0.007889 0.011433
2025-05-11 0.002078 0.002606 0.003303 0.004317 0.005814 0.008043 0.011842
2025-05-18 0.002029 0.002558 0.003260 0.004291 0.005829 0.008151 0.012177
2025-05-25 0.002008 0.002546 0.003266 0.004335 0.005951 0.008430 0.012820
2025-06-01 0.001961 0.002497 0.003219 0.004301 0.005951 0.008514 0.013130
2025-06-08 0.001914 0.002448 0.003172 0.004263 0.005943 0.008584 0.013416
2025-06-15 0.001860 0.002387 0.003104 0.004193 0.005884 0.008566 0.013541